Benefit analysis of the hottest wind power parity

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Benefit analysis of demonstration projects on wind power parity

according to the notice of the National Energy Administration on the publication of demonstration projects on wind power parity (Guo Neng FA Xin Neng [2017] No. 49), Hebei, Heilongjiang, Gansu, Ningxia and Xinjiang reported the demonstration projects on wind power parity, and the electricity price of the demonstration projects was implemented according to the electricity price on the local coal power benchmark, The generated power will not be issued with a green power certificate and will be consumed within the local power range

is the demonstration project economically feasible? Referring to the provinces and utilization hours published in 2016, many industry experts suggested that the investment per kilowatt should be estimated at 7000 yuan/kw. The economic results of the above five provinces are as follows:

according to the above basic data, it can be seen that only Hebei, which is still very helpful for our R & D projects, has higher economic benefits than the industry benchmark income. There is a certain uncertainty in investment and power generation. Then, for the above five provinces, under different investment levels, how much should the full load hours be increased, and the capital IRR can reach 10%? Please see the calculation results in the following table:

it can be seen from the above table that when the wind power tariff is implemented according to the local coal power benchmark, the probability of the capital IRR of Hebei and Heilongjiang is greater than 10%, but the capital IRR of Gansu, Ningxia and Xinjiang is greater than 10%, which is basically not feasible. It can be seen that the economy of wind farms in the demonstration area is not all optimistic, so whether the land-based wind power can realize parity, and the written program can be stored in the microcomputer. What are your views on this? Welcome to leave a message for discussion and express your views

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